Donelson v. Steele, No. 20-1094 (8th Cir. 2021)

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Court Description: [Chief Judge Smith, Author, with Kelly and Erickson, Circuit Judges] Prisoner case - Habeas. The Missouri state court decision determining Donelson was not denied effective assistance of counsel by his trial attorney's decision to withdraw a motion to sever the two murder charges was based on an unreasonable interpretation of the facts; however, Donelson is not entitled to habeas relief because he cannot show prejudice from his attorney's decision to withdraw the motion to sever the two murder charges; the trial court's decision to deny severance was reasonable and did not amount to an abuse of the trial court's discretion; it is therefore, unlikely that the Missouri Court of Appeals would have reversed the trial court's denial of severance; even if Donelson could show a substantial probability of severance on appeal, he cannot show an overall reasonable probability of a different outcome in the case; the evidence against Donelson was convincingly incriminating on both murders, and Donelson has not met his burden of showing a reasonable probability of a different outcome in either case, even if they had been severed. Judge Kelly, dissenting.

This opinion or order relates to an opinion or order originally issued on August 26, 2021.

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United States Court of Appeals For the Eighth Circuit ___________________________ No. 20-1094 ___________________________ Rodney L. Donelson lllllllllllllllllllllPetitioner - Appellant v. Troy Steele lllllllllllllllllllllRespondent - Appellee ____________ Appeal from United States District Court for the Eastern District of Missouri - St. Louis ____________ Submitted: October 22, 2021 Filed: October 26, 2021 ____________ Before SMITH, Chief Judge, KELLY and ERICKSON, Circuit Judges. ____________ SMITH, Chief Judge. A Missouri jury found Rodney Donelson guilty of two counts of first-degree murder. After the Missouri Court of Appeals denied him postconviction relief, Donelson filed this federal habeas action under 28 U.S.C. § 2254. Donelson claims that he received ineffective assistance of counsel when his trial attorney withdrew a motion to sever the two murder charges. The district court1 denied his habeas petition. We affirm. I. Background This case involves the murders of two women, Cassandra Scott and Barbara Hampton, who were killed five years apart—in 2000 and 2005, respectively. In 2009, Donelson, an acquaintance of both women, was charged with the murders. The offenses were joined in a single indictment. A. Pretrial Motion to Sever Offenses Donelson’s trial counsel, Geralyn Ruess, initially filed a motion to sever the offenses. Ruess argued that the State of Missouri had not made the requisite showing for joinder, including any similarity in motive or character, or any common scheme or plan. The State replied that the similarities between the two murders made joinder proper. The state trial court held a hearing on the motion. The State called a detective who testified about the similarities between the murders: (1) both crime scenes involved phone cords and knives; (2) both women appeared to have had their underwear removed; (3) both bodies were found with various liquids either on or around them; (4) a bottle of rubbing alcohol was found at each crime scene; (5) Scott had been strangled and Hampton was gagged and suffocated; (6) both victims were black females; (7) both women were killed in their apartments, which were one mile apart; (8) Donelson knew both victims; and (9) Donelson’s DNA was present at both crime scenes. Ruess highlighted the differences between the offenses, including: (1) the murders occurred five years apart; (2) nothing indicated that the phone cord near 1 The Honorable Audrey G. Fleissig, United States District Judge for the Eastern District of Missouri. -2- Scott’s body had anything to do with her murder; (3) cleaning fluid had been poured on Hampton’s body but not Scott’s; (4) only Scott had been stabbed; and (5) only Hampton had been sexually assaulted. Ruess also argued that prejudice from joining the two murder charges would be “incredibly overwhelming.” Resp. to Order to Show Cause, Ex. A, at 8, Donelson v. Steele, No. 4:16-cv-00637-AGF (E.D. Mo. 2016), ECF No. 14-1. She explained that the DNA evidence against Donelson was weaker in one case, but if the cases were combined, “there[] [was] no way a jury [would] be able to give him a fair shot on both of those separate incidents.” Id. The state trial court denied the motion, concluding that sufficient similarities existed to justify joinder of the offenses. On the date trial began, Ruess withdrew the motion to sever the offenses. B. Trial We describe the evidence from trial as summarized by the Missouri Court of Appeals: In July 2000, Cassandra Scott . . . was found dead in her apartment.[2] She was lying face down on the floor in a pool of blood and with a kitchen knife protruding from the back of her neck. A container of antifreeze, a telephone cord, and a pair of men’s underwear were found nearby. A purse strap was wrapped around Scott’s neck and arm. The murderer had apparently broken a window on the front door to gain entry into Scott’s apartment. Investigators discovered that the blood near Scott’s body had been diluted by some other liquid and that the liquid was on Scott’s buttocks. Investigators found an empty bottle of 2 Scott was found by her boyfriend, Ronald Dickens, who testified at trial. Dickens testified that he had been previously convicted of assault for hitting Scott after questioning her about infidelity. He also admitted on cross-examination that he had “used a knife to scare” Scott in the past. -3- isopropyl alcohol in the apartment, and the knife found in Scott’s neck matched some knives in the kitchen sink. An autopsy revealed that Scott died from a combination of strangulation by the purse strap and five cuts to the right side of her neck, which pierced the jugular vein. Laboratory testing on the men’s underwear found near Scott’s body revealed that two stains on the underwear were blood and seminal fluid. DNA tests matched the blood to Scott and the seminal fluid to [Donelson]. [Donelson] worked at the daycare where Scott worked, and [Donelson’s] brother lived in the apartment below Scott’s apartment. Although police investigators questioned [Donelson] about Scott’s death approximately two months after her body was found, [Donelson] stated that he did not know anything about the murder. However, [Donelson] told investigators that he had been in Scott’s apartment to repair a VCR three days prior to her murder. [Donelson] told investigators that he might have left a bag of clothes in Scott’s apartment, including a pair of white boxer shorts. [Donelson] claimed that he left the clothes there because he liked to flirt with women at the daycare center and he wanted to look clean. [Donelson] then changed his story and said that he had been in Scott’s apartment on the night of her murder and that they were preparing to engage in sex when they heard a car door slam. Scott suspected her boyfriend was there, so [Donelson] gathered his clothes, ran down the rear stairs into his brother’s apartment, and left the building. [Donelson’s] brother, however, denied that [Donelson] was in his apartment on the night of the murder. When investigators confronted [Donelson] with his brother’s denial about [Donelson’s] whereabouts, [Donelson] subsequently changed his story again and claimed he had been at Scott’s apartment to repair a VCR. In September 2005, [Donelson] was living in an apartment above the apartment of Barbara Hampton . . . . On September 14, 2005, at approximately 10:40 p.m., Hampton was having a telephone conversation with her daughter. Hampton interrupted the conversation to answer a knock at the door, then told her daughter that [Donelson] was there and wanted to use Hampton’s telephone to make a call. Hampton ended the call with her daughter. -4- The following day, Hampton was found dead in her apartment. She was lying on the bedroom floor with a gag tied around her mouth. Hampton’s dress and slip were pushed up, and her underwear had been removed and left near her feet. Hampton had sustained an injury to her vaginal area. Several bottles were located near Hampton’s body: dish washing liquid, laundry detergent, and an empty bottle of isopropyl alcohol. Near Hampton’s body, police investigators found the cap from the bottle of isopropyl alcohol, dried liquids and powders, a kitchen knife, and a telephone cord. An autopsy revealed that Hampton died from suffocation caused by the gag pushing her tongue back so that it blocked her airway. The autopsy also showed that Hampton had sustained a fresh injury to her vaginal area that could have been caused by a sharp object or by something stretching the tissue. Blood was found on Hampton’s slip, on a pillowcase, and on the cap from the bottle of isopropyl alcohol. DNA tests revealed that [Donelson] was the source of the majority of DNA found in the blood on the bottle cap. [Donelson’s] DNA also was found in some of the blood stains on the pillowcase. Trace amounts of DNA consistent with [Donelson’s] DNA was found on [the] telephone cord and on Hampton’s slip. Police investigators questioned [Donelson] about Hampton’s death approximately one month after her body was found. [Donelson] told investigators that he had spoken with Hampton the night before her body was found but that he had left with a friend named Robert Ellis . . . and did not return home until the next morning. Ellis, however, denied that [Donelson] had ever spent the night with him and specifically denied that [Donelson] had spent the night with him in September 2005.[3] Consequently, after further investigation, police questioned [Donelson] a second time. This time, [Donelson] admitted that he had 3 However, Ellis also testified that [Donelson] came over to his house “basically every day” in September of 2005, and would stay for several hours, sometimes until 11:00 p.m. -5- lied in his first statement because he had spent the night with Brenda Jacobs . . . and he did not want his girlfriend, Melinda Freeman . . . , to know he had been cheating on her. [Donelson] became angry and agitated during the second interview with police. [Donelson] then admitted he had been in Hampton’s apartment a few years earlier to help her husband carry in a mattress. Hampton’s husband had died approximately two years before Hampton’s murder. After [Donelson] was arrested and informed of his Miranda4 rights, [Donelson] repeated the story he had given to investigators during the second interview. Police investigators then questioned Freeman, with whom [Donelson] had lived in the apartment above Hampton’s apartment. Freeman provided investigators with Jacobs’ telephone number. She stated that [Donelson] had instructed her to tell police that he had been cheating on her with Jacobs. Investigators subsequently interviewed Jacobs, who stated that she and [Donelson] had not spent any night together in September 2005. After his arrest, [Donelson] also discussed Scott’s murder with police investigators. [Donelson] claimed that he had gone to Scott’s apartment the day before her murder to repair the toilet. [Donelson] said that he must have left a bag of clothes in Scott’s apartment; however, on the night of Scott’s murder, he had stayed with his girlfriend . . . . State v. Donelson, 343 S.W.3d 729, 731–33 (Mo. Ct. App. 2011). The prosecution introduced DNA evidence into the trial record. One DNA expert, Anna Kiatowski, testified about the Scott murder. She testified that while the DNA on the boxers matched Donelson, everything else at the crime scene matched Ronald Dickens. 4 Miranda v. Arizona, 384 U.S. 436 (1966). -6- Two DNA experts, Samantha Webb and Malena Jimenez, testified about the Hampton murder. Webb testified that “[e]xcluding an identical twin, Rodney Donelson is the source of the major contributor DNA detected” on the bottle cap and the pillow case “to a reasonable degree of scientific certainty.” Resp. to Order to Show Cause, Ex. A, at 86. She specified that only “one in 300 quintillion” people would have that same DNA. Id. at 87. Jimenez testified that DNA samples from Hampton’s slip and the phone cord under Hampton’s body were “consistent” with Donelson’s DNA. Id. at 90. Jimenez noted, however, that the specific haplotype was more likely to be found in white individuals than black individuals: “[It] was found 0 times in 3,271 black individuals and 5 times in 3,912 Caucasian individuals . . . . [T]he frequency of this profile [is] approximately 1 in every 1,007 total individuals, 1 in every 1,093 black individuals and 1 in every 417 Caucasian individuals.” Id. Jimenez also testified that she had “misspelled [Donelson’s] name on [her] original [lab] report.” Id. at 91. Her original report indicated that the DNA samples from the Hampton crime scene matched someone named Rodney “Donaldson,” as opposed to “Donelson.” Id. Jimenez explained that she “fix[ed] that [misspelling] and then issued an amended report” with the correct spelling. Id. The defense called no witnesses. During her closing argument, Ruess argued that because “Scott is the weaker case, [the State] want[s] you to jump to Hampton and say, ‘Oh, yeah, this is really horrible,’ because there is all this DNA and you know that DNA never fails.” Id. at 102. She then argued that the DNA at the Hampton crime scene did not belong to Donelson, who is black, and instead belonged to a white man named “Donaldson.” She stated that “[n]obody compared Rodney Donaldson’s DNA to Rodney Donelson’s DNA. D-O-N-E-L-S-O-N, not D-O-N-A-L-D-S-O-N.” Id. She used Jimenez’s statistical analysis to suggest that the DNA sample more likely belonged to a white person: -7- 95 percent confidence interval. One in every 1,007 total individuals, 1 in every 1,093 African-Americans, 1 in 417 Caucasians. That DNA is more common by twice in white people than black people. Does that mean definitively that this Rodney Donaldson is white? No. But think, think about it. Id. at 102–03. The jury convicted Donelson of both counts of first-degree murder. He was sentenced to life imprisonment without the possibility of parole for each crime. C. Postconviction Proceedings The Missouri Court of Appeals affirmed Donelson’s murder convictions. Donelson moved for postconviction relief, asserting ineffective assistance of counsel on several grounds. The only claim relevant to this appeal is that Ruess was ineffective for withdrawing the motion to sever. At the postconviction hearing, Ruess testified that this was part of her trial strategy because she “didn’t have very much to work with” and her “strategy was to just point out the inconsistencies and the holes in the state’s case, but mainly to use the different DNA results and lab results and reports against each other to show that either they couldn’t believe one, or they couldn’t believe both.” Resp. to Order to Show Cause, Ex. K, at 5–6, Donelson v. Steele, No. 4:16-cv-00637-AGF (E.D. Mo. 2016), ECF No. 14-11. She said the inconsistencies were that [o]ne was spelled Donaldson with an A-L-D-S-O-N, and I argued that was not the right person. And the other one, the DNA that they found, the frequency in which it would be found in a population was higher in a white population than an African-American population. So I argued that that actually would be the wrong person, because obviously it would occur more often in a white population. -8- Id. at 10–11. Ruess explained that after the motion to sever was denied, she later withdrew it because she “needed both sets of DNA to order and kind of contrast against each other” and she “thought that the judge was going to grant it, and by that point, [she] wouldn’t have had any defense at all if he had done that.” Id. at 15. The postconviction court denied Donelson’s petition, holding that Ruess’s performance was not constitutionally deficient under Strickland5 because she gave a “plausible strategic reason” for her actions: [S]he withdrew the motion because she was concerned that the Court would reconsider and the motion would be granted. She said she wanted to compare and contrast the DNA evidence from the two murders. The name on the lab report for one case did not have [Donelson’s] name spelled properly and she wanted to be able to argue it was not the correct person. The DNA from the other case, from the pillow case, was more likely to be a white person than a black person. She said that because [Donelson’s] alibi did not work out, her best defense was to attack the DNA evidence and she believed this strategy would be more effective if the cases were tried together. Donelson v. Missouri, No. 0922-CR03577, 2013 WL 9768487, at *1 (Mo. Cir. Ct. Sept. 17, 2013) (footnote omitted). The Missouri Court of Appeals affirmed. It concluded that Ruess had a “defensible trial strategy” of comparing and contrasting the DNA because “[t]he name on the lab report for one case had been spelled incorrectly and the sample from the other case was determined to be more likely to have come from a Caucasian, which Appellant was not.” Resp. to Order to Show Cause, Ex. J, at 8, Donelson v. Steele, No. 4:16-cv-00637-AGF (E.D. Mo. 2016), ECF No. 14-10. “Because severing the 5 Strickland v. Washington, 466 U.S. 668 (1984). -9- offenses would prohibit [her] from employing her reasonable defense strategy,” it concluded, she was not ineffective for withdrawing her motion to sever. Id. D. Habeas Corpus Petition Donelson filed a federal habeas petition under 28 U.S.C. § 2254, alleging ineffective assistance of counsel. The district court denied relief, but it granted a certificate of appealability on the severance issue. It called it a “close question” whether Ruess was ineffective for withdrawing the motion. Donelson v. Steele, No. 4:16-cv-00637-AGF, 2019 WL 4750280, at *9 (E.D. Mo. Sept. 30, 2019). The court found counsel’s explanation “troubling” for several reasons: (1) Donelson “admitted to being in both apartments and provided at least some explanation of the presence of his DNA there”; (2) even if Ruess believed the best strategy was to argue that the DNA did not belong to Donelson, “it [was] not clear to the [c]ourt why she needed to join the murder charges to do so”; (3) and “trial counsel never actually ‘compar[ed] or contrast[ed]’ the DNA evidence from the two crime scenes at trial.” Id. (third and fourth alterations in original). The district court noted that “the state court’s suggestion that name-error was in one case, and the race issue (Caucasian versus African-American) was in the other appear[ed] to be a mischaracterization of the evidence of trial.” Id. at *9 n.11 (citation omitted). Despite “its significant concerns,” the district court gave the state appellate court the benefit of the doubt pursuant to “the ‘doubly deferential’ standard of review” for § 2254 claims. Id. at *9 (citing Fenstermaker v. Halvorson, 920 F.3d 536, 540 (8th Cir. 2019)). Emphasizing Ruess’s “difficult task” and “resist[ing] the temptation to second-guess [counsel’s] trial strategy,” the district court concluded that Donelson had not shown that Ruess’s choice to try the charges together “so clearly outweighed her alternative options that it was objectively unreasonable for the state court to find that [she] acted within the ‘wide range’ of reasonable professional -10- assistance under Strickland.” Id. at *10 (second alteration in original) (quoting Blackmon v. White, 825 F.2d 1263, 1265 (8th Cir. 1987)). Donelson timely appealed. II. Discussion Donelson argues that the district court erred in concluding that he was not entitled to habeas relief on the grounds of ineffective assistance of counsel. “On appeal from a district court’s ruling on a habeas petition, ‘we review the district court’s findings of fact for clear error, and its conclusions of law de novo.’” Ali v. Roy, 950 F.3d 572, 574 (8th Cir. 2020) (quoting Escobedo v. Lund, 760 F.3d 863, 868 (8th Cir. 2014)). The Antiterrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act of 1996 (AEDPA) provides that when, as here, a claim has been adjudicated by a state court, habeas relief is only permissible if the state court’s determination either (1) “resulted in a decision that was contrary to, or involved an unreasonable application of, clearly established Federal law”; or (2) “was based on an unreasonable determination of the facts in light of the evidence presented in the State court proceeding.” 28 U.S.C. § 2254(d). AEDPA raises a high bar to relief: “a state prisoner must show that the state court’s ruling on the claim being presented in federal court was so lacking in justification that there was an error well understood and comprehended in existing law beyond any possibility for fairminded disagreement.” Harrington v. Richter, 562 U.S. 86, 103 (2011). This standard, which “stops short of imposing a complete bar on federal-court relitigation of claims already rejected in state proceedings,” is “difficult to meet . . . because it was meant to be.” Id. at 102. “We will not lightly conclude that a State’s criminal justice system has experienced the ‘extreme malfunctio[n]’ for which federal habeas relief is the remedy.” Burt v. Titlow, 571 U.S. 12, 19–20 (2013) (alteration in original) (quoting Richter, 562 U.S. at 102). -11- We review claims of ineffective assistance of counsel under Strickland’s two-part test, “which requires [a petitioner] to show that counsel’s performance fell below professional norms and that, as a result of that deficient performance, he was prejudiced.” Gabaree v. Steele, 792 F.3d 991, 996 (8th Cir. 2015). Thus, “[t]o grant relief under § 2254, . . . we must conclude that the state court unreasonably applied the Strickland test or that, in reaching its conclusion regarding the performance of [a petitioner’s] attorney, it made unreasonable factual conclusions.” Id. If a petitioner overcomes § 2254’s high bar, then we are not limited by AEDPA deference and review the issue de novo. Id. at 999. Donelson contends that the state appellate court’s decision was both (1) contrary to, or involved an unreasonable application of Strickland, and (2) based on an unreasonable determination of the facts. Because we agree that the state court’s decision was based on an unreasonable determination of the facts, we address only the second prong. A. Unreasonable Determination of the Facts “The question under AEDPA is not whether a federal court believes the state court’s determination was incorrect but whether that determination was unreasonable—a substantially higher threshold.” Schriro v. Landrigan, 550 U.S. 465, 473 (2007). “We may not characterize . . . state-court factual determinations as unreasonable ‘merely because [we] would have reached a different conclusion in the first instance.’” Brumfield v. Cain, 576 U.S. 305, 313–14 (2015) (second alteration in original) (quoting Wood v. Allen, 558 U.S. 290, 301 (2010)). Rather, we may “supersede the trial court’s determination” only “[i]f reasonable minds reviewing the record [would not] disagree about the finding in question.” Id. at 314 (cleaned up); see also Bahtuoh v. Smith, 855 F.3d 868, 873 (8th Cir. 2017) (“A state court decision is based on an unreasonable determination of the facts only if the court’s presumptively correct factual findings do not enjoy support in the record.” (quotation -12- omitted)). This is a high bar, but “‘[e]ven in the context of federal habeas, deference does not imply abandonment or abdication of judicial review,’ and ‘does not by definition preclude relief.’” Brumfield, 576 U.S. at 314 (alteration in original) (quoting Miller-El v. Cockrell, 537 U.S. 322, 340 (2003)). Donelson argues that the state court based its decision on two unreasonable determinations of fact: (1) it erroneously found that the two inconsistencies identified by Ruess—the name-error issue and the race issue—occurred in different cases, and (2) it erroneously attributed to Ruess a strategy the record shows she did not follow. We agree. First, it is undisputed that the Missouri Court of Appeals made an incorrect factual statement when assessing Ruess’s performance. The court wrote: Counsel had decided her defense strategy at trial would be to compare and contrast the DNA samples taken from each of the two crime scenes. The name on the lab report for one case had been spelled incorrectly and the sample from the other case was determined to be more likely to have come from a Caucasian, which Appellant was not. Accordingly, counsel’s defense strategy was to argue the DNA from the murder scenes did not belong to Appellant. Because severing the offenses would prohibit counsel from employing her reasonable defense strategy, withdrawing the motion to sever was not ineffective. Resp. to Order to Show Cause, Ex. J, at 8 (emphasis added). The second, highlighted statement is wrong; both of those issues existed in the Hampton case, and neither existed in the Scott case. One expert witness—Jimenez—discussed both of those issues, and she only testified about the Hampton case. In closing, Ruess highlighted -13- the name error and race issue to argue that the DNA in Hampton’s case—not Scott’s—more likely belonged to a white person named Donaldson. “Because [the government] concedes that . . . th[is] factual statement[] [was] erroneous, we will assume that [Donelson] has overcome the presumption of [its] correctness by clear and convincing evidence.” Collier v. Norris, 485 F.3d 415, 423 (8th Cir. 2007) (citing 28 U.S.C. § 2254(e)(1)). Still, “it does not necessarily follow that the state court adjudication was based on an unreasonable determination of facts because subsection (d)(2) instructs federal courts to evaluate the reasonableness of the state court decision ‘in light of the evidence presented in the State court proceeding.’” Id. (quoting 28 U.S.C. § 2254(d)(2)). Here, however, we conclude that the state court’s erroneous finding was unreasonable because the trial transcript makes the error abundantly clear. “[R]easonable minds reviewing the record [would not] disagree.” Brumfield, 576 U.S. at 314 (quoting Wood, 558 U.S. at 301). Our inquiry does not end there, however. “[I]t is not sufficient to show the state court’s decision merely included an unreasonable factual determination. Instead, by its terms § 2254(d)(2) only empowers federal courts to grant relief if the state court’s decision was based on an unreasonable determination of the facts.” Smith v. Aldridge, 904 F.3d 874, 880 (10th Cir. 2018) (quotation omitted). The government urges that the state court did not base its conclusion on this erroneous fact because it relied on “three facts,” only one of which was wrong. Appellee’s Br. at 38. “[T]he two other facts,” it argues, “enjoy support in the record.” Id. at 39. We are not persuaded that the presence of two technically accurate statements effectively cancels out a third, inaccurate one. Rather, we agree with Donelson that “the ‘three factual bases’ for the [state] court’s decision were not separate and independent from one another.” Appellant’s Reply Br. at 12. This is indicated by the state court’s use of the word “[a]ccordingly” to transition from the second sentence -14- to the third. See, e.g., The Redbook: A Manual on Legal Style, R. 10.40, at 207 (3d. ed. 2013) (“A conjunctive adverb joins two clauses and indicates the relationship between them . . . .”). True, Ruess said that her strategy was to compare and contrast the DNA evidence to argue that the DNA was not Donelson’s, but the state court’s understanding of how or why Ruess would have pursued that strategy appears to rest on the second sentence—i.e., the incorrect one. As Donelson puts it, “[t]he Missouri court’s finding that ‘trial counsel’s strategy was to compare and contrast the lab reports’ was completely dependent on finding the second fact that the court found—that there were problems with the DNA in both cases.” Appellant’s Reply Br. at 12–13. Although we cannot say precisely how much it relied on the erroneous fact, it is hard to imagine that the state court’s reasoning and conclusion would have been the same had it understood that in fact, those two issues occurred in only one of the cases. Second, we agree with Donelson that the state court made an unreasonable determination of fact when it explained that Ruess’s strategy was to “compare and contrast the DNA samples taken from each of the two crime scenes.” Resp. to Order to Show Cause, Ex. J, at 8. “We cannot impute to counsel a trial strategy that the record reveals she did not follow.” Gabaree, 792 F.3d at 999. We also cannot accept a “state court’s determination of counsel’s strategic decisions [that] ‘resembles more a post hoc rationalization of counsel’s conduct than an accurate description of [her] deliberations.’” Id. (second alteration in original) (quoting Wiggins v. Smith, 539 U.S. 510, 526–27 (2003)). If counsel’s purported strategy has no support in the record and the court’s reliance on it amounts to a “post hoc rationalization,” this results in an unreasonable determination of the facts. Id. Here, the state court’s explanation of Ruess’s strategy amounted to a post-hoc rationalization. We agree with the district court’s assessment that -15- trial counsel never actually “compar[ed] or contrast[ed]” the DNA evidence from the two crime scenes at trial. Rather, her discussion of the DNA evidence at trial consisted of arguing that some of the DNA evidence in Hampton’s case (but not in Scott’s case) may have belonged to an unknown white man named Rodney Donaldson, rather than [Donelson], and stating in closing argument that “nobody” had compared the DNA from the two cases. Donelson, 2019 WL 4750280, at *9 (first and second alterations in original). Indeed, the only link she drew between the DNA in each case was to repeatedly comment that nobody had bothered to check whether the DNA sample labeled “Donaldson” was in fact Donelson’s. Moreover, we have no trouble finding that the state court based its decision on this post-hoc rationalization because it relied on this purported strategy to conclude that Ruess was not ineffective. B. Ineffective Assistance of Counsel Claim Because the state court’s conclusion that Ruess performed effectively relied on unreasonable determinations of fact, “§ 2254(d) does not require that we adhere to that court’s decision on this issue, and our review is de novo.” Gabaree, 792 F.3d at 999. Our review of Strickland’s prejudice prong is also de novo because the state court did not assess prejudice, and we are thus unconstrained by § 2254. Id. We move straight to the question of prejudice because “[f]ailure to establish either Strickland prong is fatal to an ineffective-assistance claim,” and “we determine that no prejudice resulted from counsel’s alleged deficiencies.” Ramirez v. United States, 751 F.3d 604, 607 (8th Cir. 2014) (first quoting Worthington v. Roper, 631 F.3d 487, 498 (8th Cir. 2011); then quoting Gianakos v. United States, 560 F.3d 817, 821 (8th Cir. 2009)); see also Strickland, 466 U.S. at 697 (“If it is easier to dispose of an ineffectiveness claim on the ground of lack of sufficient prejudice, . . . that course should be followed.”). -16- To show prejudice, “[t]he defendant must show that there is a reasonable probability that, but for counsel’s unprofessional errors, the result of the proceeding would have been different. A reasonable probability is a probability sufficient to undermine confidence in the outcome.” Strickland, 466 U.S. at 694. This standard is less onerous than the preponderance-of-the-evidence standard. See id. The likelihood of a different outcome, however, “must be substantial, not just conceivable.” Richter, 562 U.S. at 112. Donelson argues that had Ruess not withdrawn the motion to sever, there is a reasonable probability that (1) the cases would have been severed, either on reconsideration by the trial court or on appeal; and (2) once severed, he would have received a different verdict in one or both cases. Both these contentions must be true for him to show a reasonable probability of a different outcome. We assess each contention in turn. 1. Likelihood of Severance on Appeal To assess the likelihood of severance, our inquiry focuses on Donelson’s claim that the charges would have been severed on appeal.6 In Missouri, Appellate review of a claim for failure to sever charges involves a two-step analysis. First is a determination of whether the initial joinder of the offenses was proper; and, second, upon a determination that the joinder was proper, this court must then determine whether the trial court abused its discretion in refusing to sever the offenses. Where offenses are improperly joined, prejudice is presumed from a joint trial and the trial court erred in overruling the motion for severance. . . . 6 Donelson has not shown any probability that the trial court would have reconsidered and granted the severance motion on its own. The court had already denied the motion and, aside from Ruess’s testimony that she thought the judge might grant it, there is no evidence suggesting that the trial court was going to change its mind. -17- Whether joinder is proper or improper is a question of law, while severance is within the trial court’s discretion. Joinder addresses the more basic question of what crimes can be charged in a single proceeding, while severance presupposes proper joinder and leaves to the trial court’s discretion the determination of whether prejudice may or would result if charges properly joined were tried together. State v. Saucy, 164 S.W.3d 523, 528 (Mo. Ct. App. 2005) (quotations and citations omitted). Donelson thus has the burden of convincing us that there exists a reasonable probability that the Missouri Court of Appeals would have reversed on either the joinder or severance issue. This means he must show that joinder was improper as a matter of law or that the trial court abused its discretion in denying severance. Missouri favors “[l]iberal joinder of criminal offenses.” State v. McKinney, 314 S.W.3d 339, 341 (Mo. 2010) (en banc). Joinder is proper “if the offenses charged . . . are of the same or similar character.” Id. (alteration in original) (quoting Mo. Rev. Stat. § 545.140(2)); see also Mo. Sup. Ct. R. 23.05. “The tactics used in separate offenses need not be identical to constitute acts of the same or similar character.” State v. McMillon, 436 S.W.3d 663, 670 (Mo. Ct. App. 2014). However, “the manner in which the crimes were committed [must] be sufficiently similar that it is likely that the same person committed all the charged offenses.” State v. Hughes, 787 S.W.2d 802, 804 (Mo. Ct. App. 1990). Missouri courts “may consider several non-exclusive factors, including the commission of the same type of offenses, victims of the same sex and age group, offenses occurring at the same location, or offenses closely related chronologically.” McMillon, 436 S.W.3d at 670. Here, several similarities supported joinder: (1) the charges were both for firstdegree murder; (2) the victims were both black females; (3) not only did both females know Donelson, but his brother was Scott’s neighbor and Donelson was Hampton’s neighbor; (4) the crime scenes were one mile apart; (5) both crime scenes involved -18- a phone cord, knife, and an empty bottle of rubbing alcohol; (6) a bottle of antifreeze was near Scott’s body, and bottles of cleaning liquids and powders were near Hampton’s body; (7) Scott’s blood had been diluted with liquid, and Hampton’s body was covered in cleaning liquids; (8) both women were found without underwear; and (9) both murders involved strangulation or suffocation. We acknowledge that there were also important differences. For example, (1) there was no evidence that the phone cord near Scott’s body had anything to do with her murder; (2) Scott was stabbed in the neck, whereas the knife in Hampton’s case was found a few feet from her body; (3) Hampton experienced injuries to the vaginal area, indicating sexual assault, whereas there was no evidence that Scott was sexually assaulted; and (4) significant time—five years—elapsed between the crimes. However, “tactics need only resemble or correspond with one another” for joinder to be proper, State v. Holliday, 231 S.W.3d 287, 293 (Mo. Ct. App. 2007), and we find that Missouri’s non-exclusive factors favor joinder. We need not determine with absolute certainty that joinder was proper. To meet his burden, Donelson must show more than that there is a chance that the Missouri Court of Appeals would have found joinder improper on appeal. He has not. Donelson faces an even higher hurdle regarding severance because he must show that the trial court abused its discretion. The denial of a motion to sever “will be reversed if the trial court abused its discretion in overruling the motion and if there was a clear showing of prejudice.” McKinney, 314 S.W.3d at 342. Abuse of discretion occurs when the trial court’s “ruling is clearly against the logic of the circumstances then before the court and is so arbitrary and unreasonable as to shock the sense of justice and indicate a lack of careful consideration.” Id. Severance is proper only after the defendant “‘makes a particularized showing of substantial prejudice if the offense is not tried separately’ and . . . the ‘court finds -19- the existence of a bias or discrimination against the party that requires a separate trial of the offense.’” Id. (quoting Mo. Sup. Ct. R. 24.07)). Courts consider factors such as “the number of offenses charged, the complexity of the evidence to be offered and whether the trier of fact can realistically distinguish the evidence and apply the law intelligently to each offense.” State v. Sims, 764 S.W.2d 692, 697 (Mo. Ct. App. 1988). “The general allegation that the jury would likely consider evidence of guilt on one charge as evidence of guilt on another charge does not meet the requirement of a particularized showing of substantial prejudice.” State v. Simmons, 158 S.W.3d 901, 909 (Mo. Ct. App. 2005) (quotation omitted). “If evidence relating to each offense is distinct and uncomplicated and the jury is properly instructed to return separate verdicts for each offense charged, the trial court does not abuse its discretion in denying a motion to sever.” State v. Tolen, 304 S.W.3d 229, 236 (Mo. Ct. App. 2009). Here, the trial court’s ruling to deny severance was reasonable and did not amount to an abuse of discretion. There were two murders, each with distinct evidence. While there was some scientific discussion of DNA evidence, the evidence presented was not particularly complex.7 The jury could have intelligently distinguished the evidence in each case and applied the law to each offense. Moreover, the jury was properly instructed that “[e]ach count must be considered separately” and that it “should return a separate verdict for each count.” Resp. to Order to Show Cause, Ex. B, at 36, Donelson v. Steele, No. 4:16-cv-00637-AGF (E.D. Mo. 2016), ECF No. 14-2. Because he did not show particularized prejudice, we find it unlikely that the Missouri Court of Appeals would have reversed the trial court’s denial of severance. 7 Donelson points to the state court’s erroneous statement of fact to support his argument that the evidence was confusing to the jury. However, we find that the state court’s error most likely stemmed from Ruess’s own testimony at the postconviction hearing. As discussed, the trial transcript makes the error obvious. -20- 2. Likelihood of a Different Verdict in Either Case Even if Donelson could show a substantial probability of severance on appeal, he must still show an overall reasonable probability of a different outcome in the challenged proceeding. See Strickland, 466 U.S. at 694. “When a defendant challenges a conviction, the question is whether there is a reasonable probability that, absent the errors, the factfinder would have had a reasonable doubt respecting guilt.” Hinton v. Alabama, 571 U.S. 263, 275 (2014) (quoting Strickland, 466 U.S. at 695). Because there were two guilty verdicts, we assess whether there is a substantial likelihood of a different outcome in either case. The Scott case was the weaker of the two, but not so weak that it would have resulted in a different outcome if tried alone. Scott had a tumultuous and violent relationship with her boyfriend. Dickens, the boyfriend, had abused her in the past. Donelson’s DNA was found only on the boxer shorts. But those boxer shorts, with his DNA and Scott’s blood on them, were found close to Scott’s body. Donelson knew Scott, had access to her building, and admitted to being in her apartment around the time of the murder. He changed his story multiple times about why and when he was there—first stating that he was there several days earlier to fix her VCR; then explaining that he was there the night of the murder to have sex with Scott but left through his brother’s apartment; and then reverting back to the story about the VCR. Donelson’s credibility was further undermined by his brother’s testimony that Donelson never came through his apartment that night. While it is certainly possible that the Scott case would have seemed weaker to a jury without the Hampton case attached to it, we see no reasonable probability of a different verdict. There is even less of a probability of a different outcome in the Hampton case, where Donelson’s DNA was in several significant places. One DNA expert testified that “[e]xcluding an identical twin, Rodney Donelson is the source of the major contributor DNA detected” on the bottle cap and pillow case near Hampton’s body, and that only “[o]ne [person] in 300 quintillion” would share the same DNA. Resp. -21- to Order to Show Cause, Ex. A, at 86, 87. The other DNA expert testified that the DNA on the phone cord and Hampton’s underwear were consistent with Donelson’s. Donelson lived upstairs from Hampton, and Hampton’s daughter testified that Hampton said Donelson was at her door shortly before the murder. During the investigation, Donelson changed his story multiple times in this case as well. Further, the two people with whom he claimed to have spent the evening of Hampton’s murder—Ellis, then Jacobs—denied being with him. In sum, the evidence against Donelson was convincingly incriminating in both cases. His DNA was found at both crime scenes, there was evidence that he was in both apartments on the nights of the murders, and he lied to police and changed his story multiple times in both cases. Donelson has not met his burden of showing a reasonable probability of a different outcome in either case, even if they had been severed. III. Conclusion We conclude that although Donelson has demonstrated that the state court’s decision was based on an unreasonable determination of the facts, his ineffective assistance of counsel claim fails because he cannot show prejudice. While it may be “conceivable” that the state appellate court would have granted severance on appeal and that one juror would have had a reasonable doubt regarding the Scott case, the probability is not “substantial.” Richter, 562 U.S. at 112. For the foregoing reasons, we affirm the district court’s decision.8 KELLY, Circuit Judge, dissenting. 8 While this appeal was pending, Donelson filed a pro se motion to present new evidence. Donelson’s motion is denied. -22- I agree that the state court’s decision was based on an unreasonable determination of the facts. However, I dissent from the court’s determination that Donelson has failed to demonstrate he was prejudiced by his trial counsel’s withdrawal of the motion to sever the two murder charges. See Strickland v. Washington, 466 U.S. 668, 687 (1984) (“First, the defendant must show that counsel’s performance was deficient. . . . Second, the defendant must show that the deficient performance prejudiced the defense.”). I think there is a reasonable probability9 that, had defense counsel not withdrawn the motion to sever before trial, the Missouri Court of Appeals would have found joinder improper and severed the charges on appeal. In concluding otherwise, the court today overstates the similarities between the murders. Cf. State v. Saucy, 164 S.W.3d 523, 528-29 (Mo. Ct. App. 2005) (explaining that “[t]he use of similar tactics in the commission of multiple crimes is sufficient to show that the offenses are of the same or similar character” only when “[t]he manner in which the crimes were committed [was] so similar that it is likely that the same person committed all the charged offenses”). First, Dr. Michael Graham, St. Louis’s chief medical examiner, testified that strangulation and suffocation are “quite different” methods. The physical action used to suffocate someone, blocking the flow of air to their lungs, is necessarily different than the one used for strangulation, which compresses the veins in a person’s neck. Second, the presence of common household items at both crime scenes is not a meaningful similarity, at least not in the role they played in the murders or their coverups. The liquid around Scott’s body was water, and though there was a bottle of antifreeze nearby and an empty bottle of rubbing alcohol in the 9 It is important to note that the standard is only “reasonable probability.” Strickland, 466 U.S. at 694. Though “[t]he likelihood of a different result must be substantial,” Harrington v. Richter, 562 U.S. 86, 112 (2011), the Supreme Court has indicated that this can be something less than 50%. See id. at 111-12 (explaining that the standard “does not require a showing that counsel’s actions more likely than not altered the outcome” (cleaned up)). -23- apartment, the prosecution’s expert testified that Scott’s blood did not test positive for any other substance. And there was nothing to suggest that Scott’s killer tried to use any of these liquids to destroy evidence. Hampton’s body, on the other hand, was covered in multiple chemicals and detergents that were intended, according to the prosecution, to “dilute any evidence that was there.” Third, it is unclear how the fact that both women were found without underwear in their own home is indicative of a similar method of committing murder. Scott did not have underwear on but none was found near her body and there was no evidence that she had been sexually assaulted. Hampton’s underwear, by contrast, was at her feet and she had been sexually assaulted before her death. On this record, the “similarities” the court has listed as favoring joinder are largely superficial. Focusing on the “manner in which the crimes were committed,” State v. Hughes, 787 S.W.2d 802, 804 (Mo. Ct. App. 1990), it also becomes apparent that the differences between the two murders are significant. Scott was beaten and stabbed multiple times in the neck, and her killer also strangled her with a purse strap. Hampton, on the other hand, was sexually assaulted and died from a gag in her mouth after her tongue blocked her airway. The crime scenes further demonstrate the stark differences between the murders. A window was broken in Scott’s apartment, whereas Hampton’s showed no signs of forced entry. Scott’s body was surrounded by a huge pool of blood, whereas Hampton’s murder, while obviously violent, left only a few blood stains behind—likely from the sexual assault. Scott was also found lying face-down, whereas Hampton was on her back with her knees up. And significantly, five years separated the two murders. Compare State v. Scott, 548 S.W.3d 351, 361 (Mo. Ct. App. 2018) (finding joinder was proper where “all three robberies were closely related in time, occurring over a three week period”), with State v. Bird, 1 S.W.3d 62, 63, 67 (Mo. Ct. App. 1999) (finding joinder improper where at least seven months separated a burglary from the receipt of stolen property). This gap in time coupled with the evidence presented at trial shows that the methods and means used to commit the crimes do not “resemble or correspond with one -24- another.” State v. Holliday, 231 S.W.3d 287, 293 (Mo. Ct. App. 2007); cf. Saucy, 164 S.W.3d at 529 (finding that offenses were not of the same or similar character where “[t]he evidence did not reflect that the same weapon was necessarily used, nor was there anything distinctive about the manner of committing the crimes”); State v. Kelly, 956 S.W.2d 922, 925-26 (Mo. Ct. App. 1997) (concluding that offenses were improperly joined where there was “nothing distinctive about the tactics used which made it likely that same person was involved in each robbery”). Donelson has shown a reasonable probability that the Missouri Court of Appeals would have found joinder improper as a matter of law. Donelson has also demonstrated a reasonable probability that the Missouri Court of Appeals would have found the trial court’s failure to sever the cases an abuse of discretion. “Where offenses are improperly joined, ‘prejudice is presumed from a joint trial . . . .’” Saucy, 164 S.W.3d at 528 (quoting State v. Bechhold, 65 S.W.3d 591, 594 (Mo. Ct. App. 2002)). But “[e]ven where joinder is proper, . . . severance may be necessary to prevent substantial prejudice to the defendant that could result if the charges are not tried separately.” State v. McKinney, 314 S.W.3d 339, 342 (Mo. banc 2010). Here, though the jury was properly instructed to separately consider the counts, “the evidence relating to each offense” was not “distinct and uncomplicated.” State v. Tolen, 304 S.W.3d 229, 236 (Mo. Ct. App. 2009). For one, the evidence included highly technical genetic and statistical analyses involving two different types of DNA testing, PCR and Y-chromosome, which in turn produce different types of results. Compare Trial Tr. at 355:2-4 (DNA analyst testifying that Y-chromosome testing of phone cord resulted in DNA profile consistent with both Reginald Donelson and Rodney Donelson), with id. at 236:14-16 (DNA analyst who used PCR testing testifying that DNA in seminal fluid “was the DNA of Rodney Donelson”). The jury heard testimony that some DNA conclusively belonged to Donelson—such as the seminal fluid from the Scott crime scene—but at other points heard about DNA that -25- was merely consistent with his profile (and also, in some instances, consistent with that of other individuals), creating a significant risk of confusion as to the proper interpretation of the various DNA evidence. Further complicating matters was the presence of co-mingled DNA at both crime scenes, as well as trace amounts of DNA that could not be identified at all. In short, the DNA evidence required particularized and nuanced interpretation, but it involved multiple, technical variables that were difficult to keep track of. Moreover, the testimony on the two murders was not entirely compartmentalized. Two of the state’s witnesses—Dr. Graham and Detective Heather Sabin—testified about both of the murders, making it that much harder to distinguish the evidence. The prosecution itself had a hard time differentiating between the murders, describing in the opening statement to the jury “the slip that Cassandra was wearing,” id. at 156:11-12, even though the evidence shows it was Hampton, not Scott, who was wearing a slip. The complexity and muddled nature of the evidence made the possibility of juror confusion—and in turn, the risk of prejudice—substantial.10 On this record, I believe there is a reasonable probability that the Missouri Court of Appeals would have severed the counts on appeal. Finally, I believe Donelson has also shown a reasonable probability that, had the counts been severed, the jury would have had reasonable doubt regarding his guilt—at least with respect to the Scott murder. See Strickland, 466 U.S. at 695 (“When a defendant challenges a conviction, the question is whether there is a reasonable probability that, absent the errors, the factfinder would have had a reasonable doubt respecting guilt.”). The circumstantial evidence implicating Ronald Dickens, Scott’s boyfriend, cannot be understated. There is testimony that (1) Dickens had physically abused Scott in the past and threatened her with a knife; (2) Dickens lied to police by telling them Scott had died by suicide; (3) the building 10 The state appeals court itself failed to “distinguish the evidence and apply the law intelligently to each offense.” State v. Sims, 764 S.W.2d 692, 697 (Mo. Ct. App. 1988). It is reasonable to expect the jury to have done the same. -26- manager may have heard Scott and Dickens fighting a few hours before police arrived; (4) Dickens’s car was seen in the parking lot outside Scott’s apartment the night of the murder; (5) the building manager, who also worked with Scott at a daycare center, testified that Scott never had company over other than Dickens; (6) Dickens’s DNA was found at Scott’s apartment; and (7) Scott’s blood was found on the living room light switch and Dickens told police that he turned the living room light on when he first went into the apartment and found Scott’s body. Without the prejudicial inferences against Donelson that a double murder trial would inevitably create, there is a substantial likelihood that the evidence implicating Dickens would have provided reasonable doubt in the jury’s mind as to Donelson’s guilt in the Scott murder. For these reasons, I respectfully dissent. ______________________________ -27-

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